policy
Video: Can polls tell us who will win on Election Day?
Pew Research
May 11, 2026 · 20s listen
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Video: Can polls tell us who will win on Election Day?
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We often hear a candidate is leading, trailing, or the race is tied. This is based on “horse race” polling, which estimates how much support candidates have, based on how people answer surveys leading up to an election. But accurately measuring the horse race is wicked hard for a few reasons.
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